Monday, October 09, 2006

Divide and Conquer

Now that the North Koreans have tested their nuke, I think its time that we look at who wins in this situation, and see the long term strategy in play here. We should start by analyzing the major players and what they gain or lose, so her we go:

The South Koreans and Japanese lose because now they have a real threat of losing cities and they have to suffer economically because they will have to raise their military spending now to deal with this Northern threat.

America loses because one of the member of the "axis" has now gone nuclear. Bush especially loses since he said he would never let the North have nukes, so that is another failure of his policy just weeks before midterm elections.

The North does not make any significant gains in that they lose whatever aid they were getting from the West without really gaining anything as a deterrent. They have 10,000 pieces of fortified artillery along the DMZ with 30,000 mobile artillery available. This would allow them to rain down hundreds of thousands of rounds of hi-explosive artillery unto Soul, a city of nearly 20 million people and the industrial heartland of Korea. This was why we never attacked them, meaning they did not really need a nuclear deterrent.

So the only winner is China and to a lesser extant Russia, both countries being the only major supporters the North has had for the past fifty years. The goal of the communists is to weaken our influence and split us from our allies. They are doing this beautifully.

The North getting nukes over our promises that we will never let them have any, shows the world we are weak and that we cannot be relied upon to keep our promises. This makes our allies question us and look for other stronger countries to provide them with protection.

China steps in and provides this, because if you look at their track record their allies have not only been put under their protective umbrella, but they have been provided with nukes to protect themselves. China will not back away from its allies, while the same cannot be said of the US.

The long term strategy of the communist block has been to make them look less threatening causing us to lower our guards and to split up the anti-communist alliance. It is divide and conquer with a twist (the twist being a fake collapse of the Soviet Union, causing the reduction in the West military strength).

The results have been more then the communists could have ever dreamed of when they came up with this plan in 1956. The great NATO alliance is almost dead, the European militaries have been gutted, China has been built up with the help of Western investments, the Europeans and the Americans are split, other US allies are leaving the Western camp, the US military has shrunk from Cold-War days, and whatever is left of the US military has been stretched and warn out fighting proxy wars.

While this is happening we in America are ignorant as can be. I know there is a saying that goes ignorance is bliss, but in this case the ignorance will mean collapse and destruction.

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